83rd Annual Oscar Predictions: The Winners

With the major guilds exalting The King’s Speech and derailing the momentum of The Social Network, tomorrow evening’s awards will certainly be one of the more exciting to behold. Well, at least if AMPAS doesn’t give the historical melodrama a clean sweep… Here are the predictions.

BEST PICTURE: The King’s Speech
BEST ACTOR: Colin Firth, The King’s Speech
BEST ACTRESS: Natalie Portman, Black Swan
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR: Christian Bale, The Fighter
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Hailee Steinfeld, True Grit
BEST DIRECTOR: Tom Hooper, The King’s Speech
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY: The King’s Speech
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY: The Social Network
— — — — — — — — —
BEST FILM EDITING: The Social Network
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY: Black Swan
BEST ART DIRECTION: The King’s Speech
BEST COSTUME DESIGN: The King’s Speech
BEST SOUND MIXING: The Social Network
BEST SOUND EDITING: Inception
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS: Inception
BEST MAKEUP: Barney’s Version
BEST ORIGINAL SONG: “If I Rise” – 127 Hours
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE: The King’s Speech
— — — — — — — — —
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE: Toy Story 3
BEST DOCUMENTARY: Restrepo
BEST FOREIGN FEATURE: Incendies

This year is rather unpredictable because the critics favor The Social Network while the guilds have favored The King’s Speech. That’s as basic and redundant a statement as I can make, but it does make predicting several categories difficult. For example, Bale could easily lose to Rush; Carter could upset in supporting actress; Hooper could easily win Best Director; The King’s Speech, with enough love, could win Best Film Editing. It’s all very conflicting and a skilled prognosticator could easily get eight predictions wrong this year because of the inability to determine the frontrunner’s amount of love. With films like Slumdog Millionaire and The Hurt Locker it was easy to predict because everyone loved those films to an insane degree.

To all fellow predictors, good luck. I don’t care if I get half of these wrong – the Oscars will finally be a treat to watch. Well, unless a sweep does redouble.

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