NBR Predictions (2009)

Another column I’m adding for all the smaller predictions – particular critics awards like NBR, BFCA, NYFCA and LAFCA, SAG/DGA/WGA, and the Golden Globes – because I like making them as well. The NBR (National Board of Review) is actually pretty extensive, so I’ll purge into their tradition with suitable predictions for each of the categories I value (which will be more than most because I’m going to add the “Top 10 Indie Films” category), so here’s to predictions!

Best Picture
– Winner: Up in the Air

01. Bright Star
02. An Education
03. The Hurt Locker
04. The Informant!
05. Inglourious Basterds
06. Invictus
07. Nine
08. Public Enemies
09. Precious: Based On the Novel ‘Push’ by Sapphire
10. A Serious Man

Best Actor
– Winner: Jeff Bridges, Crazy Heart
– Runner-Up: Colin Firth, A Single Man

Best Actress
– Winner: Helen Mirren, The Last Station
– Runner-Up: Abbie Cornish, Bright Star

Best Supporting Actor
– Winner: Christoph Waltz, Inglourious Basterds
– Runner-Up: Stanley Tucci, The Lovely Bones + Julie and Julia

Best Supporting Actress
– Winner: Anna Kendrick, Up in the Air
– Runner-Up: Marion Cotillard, Public Enemies

Best Ensemble
– Winner: Nine
– Runner-Up: Precious

Best Male Breakthrough Performance
– Winner: Jeremy Renner, The Hurt Locker
– Runner-Up: Christian McKay, Me and Orson Welles

Best Female Breakthrough Performance
– Winner: Carey Mulligan, An Education/Brothers/Public Enemies
– Runner-Up: Gabourey Sidibe, Precious

Best Director
– Winner: Jason Reitman, Up in the Air
– Runner-Up: Clint Eastwood, Invictus

Best Directorial Debut
– Winner: Tom Ford, A Single Man
– Runner-Up: Neill Blomkampp, District 9

Best Original Screenplay
– Winner: A Serious Man
– Runner-Up: Inglourious Basterds

Best Adapted Screenplay
– Winner: Up in the Air
– Runner-Up: An Education

Best Animated Feature
– Winner: The Princess and the Frog
– Runner-Up: Fantastic Mr. Fox

Best Documentary
– Winner: The Cove

01. The Beaches of Agnes
02. Capitalism: A Love Story
03. Every Little Step
04. Food, Inc.
05. Good Hair

Best Foreign Language Film
– Winner: The Secret In Their Eyes

01. Departures
02. Gomorrah
03. A Prophet
04. Still Walking
05. The White Ribbon

Best Independent Films (alphabetical order)
01. (500) Days of Summer
02. Crazy Heart
03. Goodbye Solo
04. The Messenger
05. Moon
06. Paranormal Activity
07. A Single Man
08. Sugar
09. Sunshine Cleaning
10. Tetro

Just as a note, all of the lists after the winners (picture, indie film, foreign, documentary) are done alphabetically. That’s about it – I’ve nothing to justify anything with. Sometimes they put indie films in Best Picture and vise-versa, so I wouldn’t be surprised to see The Hurt Locker or Precious be kicked out of the Best Picture list and put in Best Indie Film (like Rachel Getting Married and The Visitor got last year), but Precious’ income and directorial style will probably make voters go “Probably not all that indie”. So yeah, good luck if you’re predicting as well.


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